UPPL Likely to End Alliance with BJP by December Ahead of Assam Assembly Polls

the United People’s Party Liberal (UPPL) is likely to end its alliance with the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) by December 2025. The decision, if finalized, could reshape the political landscape in Assam ahead of the upcoming Assembly elections.

The alliance, once seen as a cornerstone of stability in the Bodoland Territorial Region (BTR), now appears to be showing signs of strain. Tensions have reportedly been brewing over seat-sharing arrangements, regional autonomy, and the growing influence of the BJP in Bodo-dominated areas.

Growing Rift Over Regional Autonomy

Insiders suggest that UPPL leaders are increasingly frustrated with what they describe as “unequal partnership dynamics” within the alliance. Many within the party feel that the BJP has overshadowed UPPL’s regional identity and limited its decision-making power in local governance.

The disagreement reportedly intensified over developmental fund allocations and administrative control in the Bodoland Territorial Council (BTC). UPPL members argue that despite their support in past elections, their voice has been sidelined in major policy decisions affecting Bodo areas.

This friction, combined with grassroots dissatisfaction, has pushed UPPL leadership to reconsider its political strategy before the polls.

Political Realignment in Assam Looms

The potential break-up between UPPL and BJP could trigger a wave of political realignments across Assam. Analysts predict that UPPL might explore new regional partnerships or even consider contesting independently to strengthen its identity among Bodo voters.

The party’s move could also influence smaller regional outfits that have been waiting to reposition themselves in the state’s political map. With the elections approaching, any shift in alliance equations could significantly alter seat projections and campaign narratives.

If UPPL decides to go solo, it could split votes in the Bodoland region, creating challenges for both the BJP and the Congress in their electoral strategies.

BJP’s Response and Election Calculations

The BJP, which formed the government in Assam with support from its allies, is closely monitoring the situation. Party leaders are reportedly attempting to persuade UPPL to stay within the coalition, stressing that unity among allies is crucial for retaining power in the 2026 Assembly elections.

However, the BJP’s growing presence in the Bodo heartland has raised concerns among UPPL cadres. Many feel that the BJP’s independent political expansion threatens the smaller ally’s grassroots network and bargaining power.

Political observers believe that even if the UPPL formally exits the alliance, post-poll collaborations could still be possible depending on seat outcomes.

Impact on Bodoland Politics

The UPPL, led by prominent Bodo leader Pramod Boro, has a significant base in the Bodoland Territorial Region. The party’s decision to sever ties with the BJP could lead to a major shift in local governance and political loyalties.

In the 2021 Assembly elections, the BJP-UPPL coalition had performed strongly in Bodo-majority constituencies. But with growing dissatisfaction among local leaders and voters, UPPL might now focus on reasserting its regional dominance by positioning itself as the true voice of the Bodo community.

The party’s grassroots network remains active across Kokrajhar, Chirang, and Baksa districts, making it a decisive force in any future political contest.

Opposition Parties Sensing Opportunity

The possibility of a split between UPPL and BJP has not gone unnoticed by the opposition. The Congress and other regional parties are expected to use this moment to strengthen their alliances and attract dissatisfied leaders from both camps.

Political analysts point out that a divided BJP camp could benefit the opposition, especially in closely contested constituencies. The Congress has already hinted at welcoming new alliances that prioritize regional representation and autonomy.

Meanwhile, the Raijor Dal and Assam Jatiya Parishad (AJP) are also exploring opportunities to expand their presence in lower Assam through strategic collaborations.

What Lies Ahead for Assam Politics

As December approaches, Assam’s political landscape is entering a phase of uncertainty and negotiation. The UPPL’s potential exit from the BJP-led alliance marks not just a strategic shift but a larger reflection of regional aspirations asserting themselves against national political dominance.

If UPPL goes solo, the upcoming election could turn into a multi-cornered contest in several constituencies. This could make the 2026 polls one of the most competitive electoral battles Assam has witnessed in recent years.

Political experts believe the coming months will determine whether UPPL’s gamble to reclaim its autonomy pays off or opens the door for other players to gain ground in the Bodoland region.