The 2023 Mizoram Assembly Elections have concluded, and exit polls have emerged, painting a picture of uncertainty regarding the outcome of the polls. While some polls predict a clean sweep for the Zoram People’s Movement (ZPM), others suggest that the Mizo National Front (MNF) could retain power.
My Axis India’s Prediction of a ZPM Clean Sweep
One of the most prominent exit polls, My Axis India, predicts a resounding victory for the ZPM, projecting the party to secure between 28 and 35 seats in the 40-member assembly. This would mean a significant gain for the ZPM, which currently holds only 1 seat in the assembly.
The My Axis India poll attributes the ZPM’s potential success to the party’s focus on local issues and its anti-incumbency stance against the ruling MNF. The poll suggests that voters are seeking a change in leadership and are drawn to the ZPM’s promises of better governance and development.
Other Exit Polls Suggest a Closer Race
In contrast to My Axis India’s prediction, other exit polls suggest a more closely contested race. The India Today-Axis My India poll projects the MNF to win between 10 and 14 seats, while the ZPM is projected to secure 15 to 25 seats.
These polls suggest that the MNF’s strong organizational base and its experience in governance could help it retain power. However, the polls also indicate that the anti-incumbency factor and the ZPM’s popularity could pose a significant challenge for the ruling party.
The Role of the Indian National Congress (INC) and the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP)
The Indian National Congress (INC) and the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) are expected to play a crucial role in the formation of the next government. The INC is projected to win between 2 and 4 seats, while the BJP is projected to secure 0 to 2 seats.
If the exit polls are accurate, the INC and the BJP could hold the key to power, as their support could be crucial in forming a coalition government. However, both parties have expressed their intention to fight for a majority in the assembly.
Uncertainty Prevails Until Final Results
While exit polls provide an initial indication of the likely outcome of the elections, the final results are still awaited. The official counting of votes is scheduled to take place on December 3, and only then will the true picture of the Mizoram Assembly Elections emerge.